Numbers Are Numbers.

‘Magic’ elixirs were all the rage from the mid-1800s through the early 1900s.

Peddlers, or ‘snake-oil salesmen,’ traveled the country, hawking these elixirs along the way. Most formulas indeed made gullible customers feel good as they contained heroin, alcohol and cocaine.

Hell, who wouldn’t be happy with that combo?

But…

Words are the new elixirs. Words crafted to make you feel good but contain nothing healthy for your brain to absorb.

Such are many of the words that come from the White House (we know elixirs are crafted in various potencies in every administration).

Specifically, when “Bidenomics” whatever that is, touts the robustness of middle-class wages and growing from the middle out? These words are the latest ingredients in this administration’s “Morley’s Liver and Kidney Cordial.”

Listen, there are lots of cool things in the middle. Creme in the Oreo, that stuff that explodes from a Twinkie, the white blop in a Ring Ding, but words are the emptiest calories that exist today.

I take solace in numbers. They’re non-partisan. They don’t require emotional stroking, which means, Bidenomic’s Numeral Elixir for wages isn’t working.

Real wages (adjusted for inflation) moved steadily higher through the Obama admin and exploded higher during the Trump stint.

During the current period (and it isn’t over, in all fairness, so we’ll see how it goes), real wages have fallen, thus negatively affecting the middle class.

You can’t point to the place on your body and tell me where numbers hurt you. I’m not buying it. Nor am I touching anything on you that hurts.

I call that “Rosso’s Cootie Principle.” But numbers are numbers.

When any politician makes a statement: Don’t fall for the narrative, avoid the heuristic, lizard nature of your brain to pounce, and do your homework.

Coincidentally, today, from the Wall Street Journal:

In 1982-84 dollars, which takes account of inflation, average hourly earnings were $11.39 when Mr. Biden took office but started to decline immediately and didn’t stop falling until inflation peaked in June 2022. They have bounced up a little but were still back only to $11.03 in May. That’s a 3.16% decline in real earnings for the average worker across the 29 months of the Biden Presidency.

Numbers don’t lie. People do.

May be an image of text that says 'VettaFi Advisor Perspectives $31 Recessions Real Average Hourly Earnings CPI Adjusted to Today's Dollar $29 $28.55 advisorperspectives.com As May 2023 ----CurrentLevel=$28.75 $28.75 -Current Level $27 $28.75 $29.77 $25 $23 $21 $23.10 $19 $17 Johnson Nixon $15 1964 Ford Carter 1969 Reagan 1974 Bush 1979 Clinton 1984 FRED series aHeTp chainedin May 2023 dollars using Consumer Price Index 1989 GW Bush 1994 1999 Obama 2004 Trump 2009 Biden 2014 2019 2024'

Four Ways To Overcome Financial Inertia.

Five years after the financial crisis and those who cross my path tell me it feels like the recession never ended. They are stressed over personal finance, investing and debt management.

I get it.

dear ki

The concerns are valid. The stock market is up close to 200% since March 2009 so who wants to chase it; housing is sloppy but recovering. In several pockets of the country, real estate is expensive and prices are out of reach for many individual investors. Wage growth is dead (you receive a raise, lately?), we are spending more time in our death cubicles and missing soccer games. The masses burned out three years ago and saunter around today like the living dead hoping they can make it home to collapse in front of the television.

Sort of blows.

burn out

However, there are ways to take smart steps and overcome fear and procrastination:

To feel alive and in control again (remember that?)

Random Thoughts:

1). Go beneath the fears. Sure, I bet you can banter on about what concerns you. Until you use pen and paper to list what’s heavy on your mind, you’ll never completely weigh the implications of doing nothing. You may be surprised to discover that what really frightens you is merely a misunderstanding.

For example, I have a friend who was hesitant to save for retirement but his true dilemma was frustration over the limited choices in his current employer’s retirement plan; he failed to understand other retirement account choices were available outside his job.

Documenting fear will narrow down to issues you may explore with professionals or confidantes. An action plan outlining milestones will provide a sense of accomplishment and embolden you to accelerate positive behaviors.

2). Push ahead mentally 20 years to feel the pain enough to make one move. Who says you need to walk huge steps at once? Take small steps and move already. A way to create a urgency is to imagine what your life will be like two decades into the future if you remain in finance neutral.

What will your life be like 20 years from now if you don’t begin saving for retirement? Forget all the financial industry bull that makes you feel like if you don’t start socking away money from the age of 25, you’re permanently doomed to a life of poverty. It’s like me saying – “Hey, you’re 40. Too late to improve your health through diet and exercise, so just forget it. “

fat guy eating

I’ve worked with many accumulators who have hit their stride late, made changes to reduce debts and increase savings at a time when they believed – “why bother?” Along with an investing strategy they have caught up. They’re in a better place, financially.

So you’re late getting off your ass: Big deal. Just start.

3). Do some research. Knowledge is power. As you learn, fear will fade as you engage. A lack of knowledge will stir up uncertainty and freeze you in place. Sort of like what happened to us immediately after the Great Recession. Who the heck thought we could suffer another devastating economic collapse?

Don’t succumb. Dig in, a piece at a time until you feel less uneasy about the topic. Nobody expects you to be an expert; don’t be too hard on yourself. Gather opinions from professionals. Know the rewards AND risks.

Be wary of too much knowledge. Yes, you read that right. In other words, those who immerse in a subject begin to feel invincible. It’s at that point, dumb mistakes are made. You must remain humble in your quest to avoid overconfidence bias. Pompous asses usually don’t win. Don’t be a pompous ass. It takes too much energy for nothing. And nobody will want to help you reach your goals.

pompous

4). A little fear is healthy.  When it comes to money I find fear to be a motivator if used in controlled doses. Slight discomfort is healthy and will push you ahead. It’s through time and experience that fear will be perceived as friend. You should never get too comfortable when it comes to handling your finances. Discomfort breeds curiosity. Curiosity leads to awareness, especially of risk.

Eventually, inertia will be a memory; it will no longer prevent you from making improvements, seeking opinions and basking in accomplishment.

Household financial stagnation is still with us.

Doing nothing is detrimental to your long-term accumulation of wealth.

It’s time to get off the pot.

And unlock the potential.

Who knows?

You may even make new friends, get dates.

And reduce inertia, gain energy, in several areas of your life.

And get your head out of the urinal.

toilet guy